Forum Replies Created
-
AuthorPosts
-
Up::1
Traditional Bowtie is widely used to explore specific hazard events. In 2019, RiskIQ collaborated with the Australian National University to explore how Bowtie could be adapted. The ambitious aims of the work were produce a risk tool and process that is recognisably Bowtie and that would:
- deal with risks of all kinds and complexities.
- seamlessly deal with deal with opportunities and threats
- work on multiple interrelated uncertainties (threats and opportunities) at the same time, for best overall advantage.
The result of that work is embodied in the attached “Systemic Bowtie” diagram. It has three key stages of work, as briefly summarised in the second slide. The Systemic Bowtie was tested in practice and delivered excellent outcomes for a risk review of a complex project, difficult project.
Attachments:
You must be logged in to view attached files.Up::1We had a good meeting on Wed 9th June. The meeting notes are attached. They are worth a quick read, especially if you weren’t able to be there.
Some of the topics covered include:
- “What are we seeking to visualise and work on – individual risks or multiple risks?”
- Predict! Risk visualisation tool.
- Are we in the game of mega complexity, or much smaller?
- Risk professionals – who and what?
- Should we provide a decision tree for selecting risk tools?
Other Actions Arising: The following additional actions were suggested or agreed during the meeting:
- Trevor will upload a 2-page summary about the use of n-square matrices in systems engineering.
- Richard will provide an overview of the “Systemic Bowtie” tool he mentioned.
- Davin will have a look at what IRM’s SIG “Risk in Complexity” is doing and let the group know.
- Richard will start a dialogue on the forum about the idea of a “decision tree”.
Regards, Richard
Attachments:
You must be logged in to view attached files.Up::1Meeting #3
Ready for more exploring of visualisation methods & tools?
Especially keen to hear what Shree Lakshmi Ramesh Babu has to say about complex risk visualisation software?
The agenda for our next meeting (Wed 9th June 5:30pm Canberra time) is attached!!
Attachments:
You must be logged in to view attached files.Up::2We had another good meeting last Thursday, albeit with only a few people present.
Please find the meeting notes, including some descriptions of tools/approaches. Also find attached two documents describing two of the tools discussed. Please use this forum to comment, extend, question.
The next meeting will be Wednesday 9th June, at 5:30pm Melbourne time.
Warm regards, Richard
Attachments:
You must be logged in to view attached files.Up::0Please see an updated problem statement map in the form of a risk map, for Working Group A.
I’ve left it in powerpoint format so anyone can chose to add, delete, modify. Please feel to download, make changes and then upload. No need to do mark-ups on comments except where you want to. This can be an emerging process.
For discussion at our next meeting – this coming Thursday, 5:30pm Canberra time.
Regards, Richard
Attachments:
You must be logged in to view attached files.Up::0Hello again. We agreed in the last meeting to share information about practical tools for visualising and understanding complex interrelated risks. To that end I’ve attached a sample of three tools and one process, for discussion.
Another tool I think is very much of interest is the complex risk visualistion software being developed by Shree Lakshmi Ramesh Babu – a PhD researcher from Perth. She will be presenting an ICCPM webinar soon – see the ICCPM website. I think what she is doing is worth a close look.
Attachments:
You must be logged in to view attached files.in reply to: Biographies of forum members #11812Up::0Hi everyone,
Meeting #1 of this working group was last Thursday 13th May. A big thank you to those able to attend. We had a thought provoking conversation. The notes arising from that meeting are attached. Please comment, provide ideas or contribute in other ways to this important topic using this forum. Please also strongly consider being part of the next meeting of this working group, planned for Thursday 27th May at 5:30pm Canberra time.
<u>Next Steps</u>
- Meeting Notes:
Please use the meeting notes as a start point for comments, questions, ideas on the forum. - Existing Tools/Methods:
Please suggest useful methods or tools (or processes) for inquiring, visualising, understanding interconnected risks and how they relate to project purpose, outcomes, success. - Problem Statement Map:
The Problem Statement Map will be updated as a soon as possible, in powerpoint format. Please have a look at it and make comments on the forum or even to download it, make comments and then upload.
- Next Meeting: It was decided to meet again in two weeks (same day/time) and then consider how often we meet after that;.
Regards, Richard Barber
Attachments:
You must be logged in to view attached files.Up::0Attached are the slides for the Working Group A meeting at 5:30pm today (Thursday 13th May). Feel free to turn up even if you did not register. Arriving late to the meeting is also totally okay.
See details that follow.
Regards Richard
Working Group A. Thurs 13<sup>th</sup> May; 5:30pm-6:30pm AEST
Proposed Topic: Review whether and how network analysis (and or other existing tools and methods) can be used as valuable, practical aids for understanding and managing interrelated risks in complex projects.Join Zoom Meeting:
<u>https://zoom.us/j/99740095190?<wbr />pwd=<wbr />MVNhY1JIZi9zVFhlc2ZqSjlDY1FmUT<wbr />09</u>Meeting ID: 997 4009 5190
Passcode: 344000Attachments:
You must be logged in to view attached files.in reply to: Suggestions / Recommendations – MRC SIG #11634Up::0Survey results. The MRC SIG Working Group survey results are attached to this post.
Proposed Topics. A diagram showing the proposed Working group topics is also attached.
If you have questions or comments please add them to this thread.
Attachments:
You must be logged in to view attached files.in reply to: General Discussion – MRC SIG #11615Up::0The Working Group topics survey is open until c.o.b. Friday 9th.
Please do complete the survey – we need your views.
in reply to: Meeting Agendas – MRC SIG #11557in reply to: General Discussion – MRC SIG #11556Up::1[quote quote=11531]I just noticed that ICCPM are already posted by them, as partners![/quote]
Yep, ARPI are partners with ICCPM. I’m also a member of ARPI and can bring some of their ideas to the MRC SIG conversation. Nonetheless it would be good to have them at the meetings directly. Richard
in reply to: General Discussion – MRC SIG #11277Up::1Hi, This is just a first comment to get things started. Davin and myself( Richard) are excited to be co-chairing this SIG. As you might expect in the world of complexity, we see our co-chair roles as catalysts of open conversation and exploration – not as coordinators or controllers.
Let’s see how we can collaborate to add practical, real value for complex project managers and stakeholders. At any time, feel free to throw any comment or suggestion into this general discussion.
We’re looking forward to our first MRC SIG meeting, and then to being part of one or more working groups tackling issues of interest to SIG participants.
-
AuthorPosts