Forums Managing Risk in Complexity SIG
(MRC SIG)
Working Group A: What practical, useful risk tools and methods are available that can help project managers to visualise and understand complex interconnected risks and their implications?

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  • Richard Barber
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    @richard-barber
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    Hi everyone,

    A reminder – Working Group A will not continue at this stage, so there will NOT be a meeting today.

    We had a great discussion on 2nd Feb with two main outcomes:

    (1)   Right now, its best for MRC SIG to focus on a single working group.  Working Group A will cease at least for the time being.

    (2)  It was proposed that ICCPM should develop a library of short videos on risk management techniques for use in complex environments.   Richard (as the outgoing facilitator of this group) will suggest that to ICCPM.

    Don’t forget that on this thread of the MRC SIG forum, there are quite a few resources that were created by the work of Working Group A.  Also, that your can get some of the same information by looking at the video of the MRC SIG webinar on 25th Jan – its available to memebrs on the ICCPM website.

    Happy hunting everyone!!!

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    Simon Springate
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    @springates
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    Thankyou Davin
    It occurs to me that perhaps David Hancock could be a visitor to our group at some time in the future.  He is a colleague of mine from back in my London Underground days where he led project risk for the organisation, today he is Construction Director, IPA, Cabinet Office and we stay in touch.

    Davin Shellshear
    SIG Chair
    @davin-shellshear
    Post count: 103
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    Thank you Simon – I shall read with interest.

    I support Richards recommendation of Tame, Messy and Wicked Risk Leadership by David Hancock.

    I am going out on a limb here – I also strongly recommend: Complexity – A key idea for business and society by Chris Mowles (Routledge). I have long been interested in Complex Responsive Processes (CRP) (Ralph Stacey being one of the best known theorists – he died recently). Mowles’ discussions provide a whole dimension to Wicked problems that I have found quite brilliant. If you are looking at the integration of CRP and CAS, more recent works on Systems Intelligence Hämäläinen and Saarinen could be of interest.

    Simon Springate
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    @springates
    Post count: 9
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    Tame Messy & Wicked is available as an ebook – it is published by Gower

    While on books I always found this informative when talking to clients about risk.  It was written a long time ago (my copy is 1997) but I still think it is relevant.

    Responding to Community Outrage:  Strategies for Effective Risk Communication
    https://slidelegend.com/responding-to-community-outragepdf-peter-sandman_5afeeecf8ead0e3e0c8b4579.html

     

    Richard Barber
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    @richard-barber
    Post count: 57
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    During and since the recent MRC SIG webinar, several people has expressed interest in understanding more about how and why traditional risk management approacghes are not effective or sufficient for complex project environements.  I’ve recently come across a very good (short) book that provides a well-rounded overview of the challanges for leaders in managing risk in a complex world.  Only 88 pages, its an easy read.

    ‘Tame, Messy and Wicked Risk Leadership’   by David Hancock.   Published by Gower.   

    I have a paper copy, but I think it may also be available as an ebook.

     

    Richard Barber
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    @richard-barber
    Post count: 57
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    Hi.

    Please note that responses to Chat comments after the Webinar on 25th Jan have been posted on the General thread of this forum.

    Attached are meeting notes from the last Working Group A meeting of 12th Jan.  My apologies that the notes have been posted so long after that meeting.   I’ll blame pressure of work!

    The main discussion on the 12th Jan meeting was about how we might use polarity mapping as a technique to help risk managers and leaders.  I was blown away by the diversity of ideas, many of which clealry have real, substantial value.   So please do open the attachment and read through it, looking for the gems from your personal perspective.  Its less than 2 pages – and its well worth the read.

    Warm regards from your outoging co-chair of the MRC SIG, Richard.

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    Richard Barber
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    @richard-barber
    Post count: 57
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    Happy New Year.

    Don’t forget the MRC SIG Working Group A meeting tomorrow (12th Jan 22) at 5:30pm Canberra time.

    Polarity mapping – a useful tool for risk management?  How?

    Also don’t forget the MRC SIG Webinar and Meeting on the 25th Jan – see detail in earlier posts, on the website and in the last ICCPM newsletter.

    Richard

    Richard Barber
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    @richard-barber
    Post count: 57
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    Hi everyone,

    Happy Holiday Season!  I hope everything is great for you and for your family, now and into the New Year.

    The notes from our last meeting (Polarity Management) are attached.   Also some reminders:

    • Next Working Group A Meeting. We agreed that the next meeting should be Wed 12<sup>th</sup>   It could be a general discussion, or perhaps deal with risk aspects of polarity mapping?
    • Webinar 25<sup>th</sup> Jan. The webinar has an emphasis on participatns getting ‘takeaways’ of value and also to see that the SIG is worth joining.
    • Short SIG Meeting. A short ‘full MRC SIG’ will follow the webinar, that everyone can attend whether members or not.  It will focus on looking ahead and look for new/emerging co-chairs etc.

    Are they in your calendar?

    Warm regards,

    Richard

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    Richard Barber
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    @richard-barber
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    Hi,

     

    Here is the agenda for todays WG A meeting.

    Also a pdf copy of the presentation Collin Smith will use.

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    Richard Barber
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    Our Working Group A meeting on Wed 1st Dec will have a close look at polarity mapping, briefed by Collin Smith the CEO of ICCPM.   As background, have a look at the short paper Collin write on decision making in the Covid-19 pandemic (attached).  It’s very cool to have Collin involved!

     We’ll also discuss what is happening early next year including the webinar and MRC SIG meeting on the 25th Jan.

    See you in the meeting on Wednesday at the usual time (5:30pm Canberra time).

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    Davin Shellshear
    SIG Chair
    @davin-shellshear
    Post count: 103
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    Hi Group A

    I gave updates the assessment spreadsheet with my thoughts on Risk vulnerability of leadership teams

    I have converted the spreadsheet image to PowerPoint to make it easy to update

    Cheers

    Davin Shellshear

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    Richard Barber
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    Attached are the notes from our 10th Nov Working Group A meeting.  It contains some notes re Systemic Bowtie and other discussions we had about methods/tools for working on risk in complexity.

    It also includes the latest version of our Method/Tool Assessment Table.   Have a look at it.   Three of the methods/tools discussed still need to have an assessment entered.  Perhaps Val, Stephen and Davin can each have a go at the relevent line in the table and let me know?  (A quick guess in this case is better value for people that an empty line).

    Note that our next meeting (1st  Dec) will focus on Polarity Mapping as a method/tool.   We’ll also consider what the important messages should be for the MRC SIG weinar on 25th Jan.

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    Richard Barber
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    Hi all,

    In the Working Group A meeting today (10th Nov) Systemic Bowtie will be presented and discussed.

    Attached are (1) a simple agenda for today (2) a presentatipon re Systemic Bowtie.

    Regards,  Richard

     

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    Richard Barber
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    See the attached notes from the last Working Group A meeting (20th Oct).  They include a proposed agenda for the next meeting (11th Nov at 5:30pm Canberra time).

    We’re trialling a new meeting format:

    • 30 minutes on a specific method/tool
    • Followed by 30 minutes to explore

    The tool/method for the meeting of 11th Nov is “Systemic Bowtie” presented by Richard Barber. He will give an overview of the method, and describe a case study including the outputs and outcomes.

    See you there!  Invite a fellow ICCPM member  to come with you!

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    Richard Barber
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    Hi Everyone,

    My apologies for not getting the notes from Working Group A Meeting #9 (29 Sep) out earlier.   I wrote up the notes from the meeting – and then forgot to post them on the forum!!!!   Mia culpa.

    The notes are attached to this post.

    I have added a proposel to the notes, to adapt how we run Working Group A.    Have a look, for discussion at the meeting later this week.

    Regards,  Richard

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