Complexity Mapping and Mess Mapping Tools for Decision-Making

[Davin Shellshear]

#21454

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Hi Heather

I use Causal Loop Diagrams in the work I do on behavioural risk analysis. It helps some to see more clearly what is going on, and because the detailed data required for System Dynamics is often difficult to obtain or unreliable, I think CLDs provide a valuable tool to understand the processes without pretending we can analyse in detail human relationship events. As an example, I find the attached diagram to be of interest in thinking about coercive control

Cheers

Davin

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[Heather Brindley]

#21270

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Origin and theoretical basis of causal loop diagrams ?

Please can members comment about the provenance of this mapping tool ?

Here are some references that I’ve found

(1921 reference – early construction of directed graph models of cause and effect – path analysis ) Wright, S. “Correlation and causation” Journal of Agricultural Research

(1963 reference – apparently the first published, formal use of a causal loop diagram to describe a feedback system) Maruyama-Second Cybernetics

(2001 reference – provides some background) Cybernetics and Second-Order Cybernetics

(2004 reference – provides some background) Second‐order Cybernetics: An Historical Introduction

[Heather Brindley]

#21269

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Use of the mapping tools GERT and VERT ?

Please can members comment about the current popularity of these tools ?

Are they used much these days, or have they been superceded by other tools ?

Here are two references that I’ve found useful

(1978 reference) GERT analysis – graphical evaluation and review technique (pmi.org)

(2016 reference) The use of a GERT based method to model concurrent product development processes – ScienceDirect

[Michael Gorman]

#20650

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@Tony-Graham I attended a presentation at DAMA Peth last Thursday that demonstrated a data visualisation tool brings that visibility and explain-ability using GenAI-assisted analysis across large collections of documents. It seems to me to be very suited to mess mapping described in your article.

[Tony Graham]

#20001

Complexity Mapping and Mess Mapping Tools for Decision- Making in Transportation and Maas Development

Another Reference

It is a shame our video conference calls wouldn’t allow us to play with Lego models to develop simulation

 

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